El ColegiadoData on refereeing in the Liga

Alfonso Álvarez × Rayo Vallecano

12 matches of Rayo Vallecano refereed by Alfonso Javier Álvarez Izquierdo, from 2011-12 to 2015-16.

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Rayo Vallecano

Alfonso Álvarez

Rayo Vallecano

inconclusivesmall sample

Inconclusive does not mean "no effect": with 12 matches, only a deviation of about ±1.50 points per match could have been detected.

Record

12matches

5 W2 D5 L

Points − expected points

+3.1pts over 12 matches

17 points obtained for 13.9 expected from the odds, i.e. +0.256 per match.

Points distribution from the odds

If only the odds mattered, over these 12 matches

Points obtained

17

Expected (odds)

13.9

Deviation

+3.1

two-sided p

0.53

Expected 13.9 ± 4.2 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 53%.

For / against, per match

Rayo Vallecano against its opponents, with Alfonso Álvarez

0.50
Penalties won
0.17
4.42
Yellows received
2.75
0.00
Reds received
0.33
15.7
Fouls called against
15.7

Tests on the 5 measures

Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)

MeasureDeviationpqVerdict
Points − expected+0.2560.541.00inconclusive
Penalty balance+0.3600.061.00inconclusive
Red-card balance+0.3160.081.00inconclusive
Yellow-card balance−0.9820.091.00inconclusive
Foul balance+0.4250.791.00inconclusive

Appointments

The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected

Observed

12

Expected

12.4

p / q

1.00 / 1.00

inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.

Matches per season

Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)

Matches

The 12 matches

From Rayo Vallecano's point of view.

Loading 12 matches…

12 matches · data file: /data/paires/alvarez-izquierdo/rayo-vallecano.json