Record
11matches
11 matches of Rayo Vallecano refereed by Ricardo de Burgos Bengoetxea, from 2015-16 to 2025-26.
Ricardo de Burgos has refereed 11 Liga matches of Rayo Vallecano, from 2015-16 to 2025-26: 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats, a 27% win rate. With other referees, over the same seasons, Rayo Vallecano wins 28% of its matches.
Verdict: no clear difference once team strength is taken into account.
Once the strength of both teams is taken into account (using bookmakers' odds), the data show no clear difference with this referee.
Win rates do not account for the strength of opponents; the conclusion does.
Record
11matches
Rayo Vallecano against its opponents, with Ricardo de Burgos
Comparison with bookmakers' odds, corrected p-values and appointments. Nothing is hidden: the full detail is here.
No clear difference does not mean "no effect": with 11 matches, only a deviation of about ±1.57 points per match could have been detected.
Points − expected points
−1.2pts over 11 matches
12 points obtained for 13.2 expected from the odds, i.e. −0.105 per match.
If only the odds mattered, over these 11 matches
Points obtained
12
Expected (odds)
13.2
Deviation
−1.2
two-sided p
0.89
Expected 13.2 ± 4.0 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 89%.
Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)
| Measure | Deviation | p | q | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points − expected | −0.105 | 0.90 | 1.00 | no clear difference |
| Penalty balance | +0.115 | 0.73 | 1.00 | no clear difference |
| Red-card balance | −0.215 | 0.27 | 1.00 | no clear difference |
| Yellow-card balance | −0.074 | 0.95 | 1.00 | no clear difference |
| Foul balance | +0.852 | 0.63 | 0.98 | no clear difference |
The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected
Observed
11
Expected
19.0
p / q
0.07 / 1.00
no clear difference Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.
Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)
From Rayo Vallecano's point of view.