Record
12matches
12 matches of Deportivo Alavés refereed by Adrián Cordero Vega, from 2018-19 to 2025-26.
Cordero Vega has refereed 12 Liga matches of Deportivo Alavés, from 2018-19 to 2025-26: 5 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats, a 42% win rate. With other referees, over the same seasons, Deportivo Alavés wins 26% of its matches.
Verdict: no clear difference once team strength is taken into account.
Once the strength of both teams is taken into account (using bookmakers' odds), the data show no clear difference with this referee.
Win rates do not account for the strength of opponents; the conclusion does.
Record
12matches
Deportivo Alavés against its opponents, with Cordero Vega
Comparison with bookmakers' odds, corrected p-values and appointments. Nothing is hidden: the full detail is here.
No clear difference does not mean "no effect": with 12 matches, only a deviation of about ±1.50 points per match could have been detected.
Points − expected points
+2.2pts over 12 matches
16 points obtained for 13.8 expected from the odds, i.e. +0.187 per match.
If only the odds mattered, over these 12 matches
Points obtained
16
Expected (odds)
13.8
Deviation
+2.2
two-sided p
0.66
Expected 13.8 ± 4.1 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 66%.
Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)
| Measure | Deviation | p | q | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points − expected | +0.187 | 0.66 | 1.00 | no clear difference |
| Penalty balance | −0.090 | 0.84 | 1.00 | no clear difference |
| Red-card balance | +0.116 | 0.55 | 1.00 | no clear difference |
| Yellow-card balance | −0.412 | 0.50 | 1.00 | no clear difference |
| Foul balance | −2.134 | 0.18 | 0.89 | no clear difference |
The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected
Observed
12
Expected
11.2
p / q
0.88 / 1.00
no clear difference Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.
Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)
From Deportivo Alavés's point of view.