Record
10matches
10 matches of Girona FC refereed by Adrián Cordero Vega, from 2018-19 to 2025-26.
Cordero Vega has refereed 10 Liga matches of Girona FC, from 2018-19 to 2025-26: 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats, a 20% win rate. With other referees, over the same seasons, Girona FC wins 36% of its matches.
Verdict: no clear difference once team strength is taken into account.
Once the strength of both teams is taken into account (using bookmakers' odds), the data show no clear difference with this referee.
Win rates do not account for the strength of opponents; the conclusion does.
Record
10matches
Girona FC against its opponents, with Cordero Vega
Comparison with bookmakers' odds, corrected p-values and appointments. Nothing is hidden: the full detail is here.
No clear difference does not mean "no effect": with 10 matches, only a deviation of about ±1.65 points per match could have been detected.
Points − expected points
−1.9pts over 10 matches
11 points obtained for 12.9 expected from the odds, i.e. −0.193 per match.
If only the odds mattered, over these 10 matches
Points obtained
11
Expected (odds)
12.9
Deviation
−1.9
two-sided p
0.74
Expected 12.9 ± 3.9 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 74%.
Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)
| Measure | Deviation | p | q | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points − expected | −0.193 | 0.74 | 1.00 | no clear difference |
| Penalty balance | −0.108 | 0.85 | 1.00 | no clear difference |
| Red-card balance | −0.092 | 0.77 | 1.00 | no clear difference |
| Yellow-card balance | −0.037 | 1.00 | 1.00 | no clear difference |
| Foul balance | +0.366 | 0.83 | 1.00 | no clear difference |
The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected
Observed
10
Expected
5.6
p / q
0.12 / 1.00
no clear difference Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.
Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)
From Girona FC's point of view.