Record
12matches
12 matches of Rayo Vallecano refereed by Xavier Estrada Fernández, from 2011-12 to 2018-19.
Record
12matches
Points − expected points
+2.6pts over 12 matches
17 points obtained for 14.4 expected from the odds, i.e. +0.217 per match.
If only the odds mattered, over these 12 matches
Points obtained
17
Expected (odds)
14.4
Deviation
+2.6
two-sided p
0.61
Expected 14.4 ± 4.2 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 61%.
Rayo Vallecano against its opponents, with Estrada Fernández
Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)
| Measure | Deviation | p | q | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points − expected | +0.217 | 0.60 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Penalty balance | +0.050 | 1.00 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Red-card balance | −0.096 | 0.70 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Yellow-card balance | +0.090 | 0.94 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Foul balance | +4.000 | 0.02 | 0.88 | inconclusive |
The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected
Observed
12
Expected
15.7
p / q
0.43 / 1.00
inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.
Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)
From Rayo Vallecano's point of view.
Loading 12 matches…
12 matches · data file: /data/paires/estrada-fernandez/rayo-vallecano.json