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González Fuertes × Athletic Bilbao

12 matches of Athletic Bilbao refereed by Pablo González Fuertes, from 2017-18 to 2024-25.

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Athletic Bilbao

González Fuertes

Athletic Bilbao

inconclusivesmall sample

Inconclusive does not mean "no effect": with 12 matches, only a deviation of about ±1.50 points per match could have been detected.

Record

12matches

5 W2 D5 L

Points − expected points

−2.3pts over 12 matches

17 points obtained for 19.3 expected from the odds, i.e. −0.195 per match.

Points distribution from the odds

If only the odds mattered, over these 12 matches

Points obtained

17

Expected (odds)

19.3

Deviation

−2.3

two-sided p

0.67

Expected 19.3 ± 4.3 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 67%.

For / against, per match

Athletic Bilbao against its opponents, with González Fuertes

0.25
Penalties won
0.25
2.67
Yellows received
2.92
0.00
Reds received
0.17
16.8
Fouls called against
14.5

Tests on the 5 measures

Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)

MeasureDeviationpqVerdict
Points − expected−0.1950.681.00inconclusive
Penalty balance−0.0460.971.00inconclusive
Red-card balance+0.1560.281.00inconclusive
Yellow-card balance+0.2020.741.00inconclusive
Foul balance−1.2500.430.94inconclusive

Appointments

The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected

Observed

12

Expected

15.8

p / q

0.42 / 1.00

inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.

Matches per season

Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)

VAR
Matches

The 12 matches

From Athletic Bilbao's point of view.

Loading 12 matches…

12 matches · data file: /data/paires/gonzalez-fuertes/athletic-club.json