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González Fuertes × Rayo Vallecano

12 matches of Rayo Vallecano refereed by Pablo González Fuertes, from 2018-19 to 2024-25.

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Rayo Vallecano

González Fuertes

Rayo Vallecano

inconclusivesmall sample

Inconclusive does not mean "no effect": with 12 matches, only a deviation of about ±1.50 points per match could have been detected.

Record

12matches

3 W3 D6 L

Points − expected points

−1.2pts over 12 matches

12 points obtained for 13.2 expected from the odds, i.e. −0.102 per match.

Points distribution from the odds

If only the odds mattered, over these 12 matches

Points obtained

12

Expected (odds)

13.2

Deviation

−1.2

two-sided p

0.88

Expected 13.2 ± 4.1 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 88%.

For / against, per match

Rayo Vallecano against its opponents, with González Fuertes

0.17
Penalties won
0.08
1.75
Yellows received
2.25
0.08
Reds received
0.17
13.8
Fouls called against
13.1

Tests on the 5 measures

Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)

MeasureDeviationpqVerdict
Points − expected−0.1020.881.00inconclusive
Penalty balance+0.1490.401.00inconclusive
Red-card balance+0.0860.731.00inconclusive
Yellow-card balance+0.7870.161.00inconclusive
Foul balance+0.6730.680.99inconclusive

Appointments

The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected

Observed

12

Expected

9.7

p / q

0.53 / 1.00

inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.

Matches per season

Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)

VAR
Matches

The 12 matches

From Rayo Vallecano's point of view.

Loading 12 matches…

12 matches · data file: /data/paires/gonzalez-fuertes/rayo-vallecano.json