Record
11matches
11 matches of Athletic Bilbao refereed by César Soto Grado, from 2020-21 to 2025-26.
Record
11matches
Points − expected points
+3.8pts over 11 matches
23 points obtained for 19.2 expected from the odds, i.e. +0.344 per match.
If only the odds mattered, over these 11 matches
Points obtained
23
Expected (odds)
19.2
Deviation
+3.8
two-sided p
0.43
Expected 19.2 ± 4.1 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 43%.
Athletic Bilbao against its opponents, with Soto Grado
Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)
| Measure | Deviation | p | q | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points − expected | +0.344 | 0.42 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Penalty balance | +0.129 | 0.51 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Red-card balance | +0.005 | 1.00 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Yellow-card balance | −0.593 | 0.31 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Foul balance | −0.880 | 0.61 | 0.98 | inconclusive |
The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected
Observed
10
Expected
12.3
p / q
0.64 / 1.00
inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.
Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)
From Athletic Bilbao's point of view.
Loading 11 matches…
11 matches · data file: /data/paires/soto-grado/athletic-club.json