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Soto Grado × Real Betis

15 matches of Real Betis refereed by César Soto Grado, from 2019-20 to 2025-26.

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Real Betis

Soto Grado

Real Betis

inconclusive

Inconclusive does not mean "no effect": with 15 matches, only a deviation of about ±1.34 points per match could have been detected.

Record

15matches

3 W7 D5 L

Points − expected points

−3.7pts over 15 matches

16 points obtained for 19.7 expected from the odds, i.e. −0.249 per match.

Points distribution from the odds

If only the odds mattered, over these 15 matches

Points obtained

16

Expected (odds)

19.7

Deviation

−3.7

two-sided p

0.51

Expected 19.7 ± 4.8 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 51%.

For / against, per match

Real Betis against its opponents, with Soto Grado

0.20
Penalties won
0.27
2.13
Yellows received
3.00
0.13
Reds received
0.00
11.5
Fouls called against
14.8

Tests on the 5 measures

Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)

MeasureDeviationpqVerdict
Points − expected−0.2490.501.00inconclusive
Penalty balance−0.0670.841.00inconclusive
Red-card balance−0.0700.781.00inconclusive
Yellow-card balance+0.7580.111.00inconclusive
Foul balance+1.2320.360.94inconclusive

Appointments

The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected

Observed

14

Expected

12.3

p / q

0.70 / 1.00

inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.

Matches per season

Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)

Matches

The 15 matches

From Real Betis's point of view.

Loading 15 matches…

15 matches · data file: /data/paires/soto-grado/real-betis.json