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Ortiz Arias × RCD Mallorca

10 matches of RCD Mallorca refereed by Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias, from 2021-22 to 2024-25.

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RCD Mallorca

Ortiz Arias

RCD Mallorca

inconclusivesmall sample

Inconclusive does not mean "no effect": with 10 matches, only a deviation of about ±1.65 points per match could have been detected.

Record

10matches

2 W2 D6 L

Points − expected points

−1.5pts over 10 matches

8 points obtained for 9.5 expected from the odds, i.e. −0.155 per match.

Points distribution from the odds

If only the odds mattered, over these 10 matches

Points obtained

8

Expected (odds)

9.5

Deviation

−1.5

two-sided p

0.81

Expected 9.5 ± 3.6 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 81%.

For / against, per match

RCD Mallorca against its opponents, with Ortiz Arias

0.10
Penalties won
0.20
2.10
Yellows received
1.90
0.20
Reds received
0.30
10.9
Fouls called against
13.2

Tests on the 5 measures

Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)

MeasureDeviationpqVerdict
Points − expected−0.1550.811.00inconclusive
Penalty balance−0.0930.811.00inconclusive
Red-card balance+0.1390.541.00inconclusive
Yellow-card balance+0.3840.571.00inconclusive
Foul balance+4.0420.020.88inconclusive

Appointments

The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected

Observed

10

Expected

11.8

p / q

0.73 / 1.00

inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.

Matches per season

Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)

Matches

The 10 matches

From RCD Mallorca's point of view.

Loading 10 matches…

10 matches · data file: /data/paires/ortiz-arias/mallorca.json