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Ortiz Arias × Real Betis

13 matches of Real Betis refereed by Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias, from 2021-22 to 2024-25.

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Real Betis

Ortiz Arias

Real Betis

inconclusivesmall sample

Inconclusive does not mean "no effect": with 13 matches, only a deviation of about ±1.44 points per match could have been detected.

Record

13matches

6 W5 D2 L

Points − expected points

+3.7pts over 13 matches

23 points obtained for 19.3 expected from the odds, i.e. +0.284 per match.

Points distribution from the odds

If only the odds mattered, over these 13 matches

Points obtained

23

Expected (odds)

19.3

Deviation

+3.7

two-sided p

0.48

Expected 19.3 ± 4.5 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 48%.

For / against, per match

Real Betis against its opponents, with Ortiz Arias

0.00
Penalties won
0.15
2.08
Yellows received
1.69
0.08
Reds received
0.15
11.2
Fouls called against
10.6

Tests on the 5 measures

Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)

MeasureDeviationpqVerdict
Points − expected+0.2840.491.00inconclusive
Penalty balance−0.2040.281.00inconclusive
Red-card balance+0.1280.541.00inconclusive
Yellow-card balance−0.7020.161.00inconclusive
Foul balance−3.3700.020.88inconclusive

Appointments

The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected

Observed

13

Expected

12.2

p / q

0.90 / 1.00

inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.

Matches per season

Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)

Matches

The 13 matches

From Real Betis's point of view.

Loading 13 matches…

13 matches · data file: /data/paires/ortiz-arias/real-betis.json