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Ortiz Arias × Villarreal CF

12 matches of Villarreal CF refereed by Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias, from 2021-22 to 2025-26.

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Villarreal CF

Ortiz Arias

Villarreal CF

inconclusivesmall sample

Inconclusive does not mean "no effect": with 12 matches, only a deviation of about ±1.50 points per match could have been detected.

Record

12matches

5 W3 D4 L

Points − expected points

−2.9pts over 12 matches

18 points obtained for 20.9 expected from the odds, i.e. −0.242 per match.

Points distribution from the odds

If only the odds mattered, over these 12 matches

Points obtained

18

Expected (odds)

20.9

Deviation

−2.9

two-sided p

0.58

Expected 20.9 ± 4.4 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 58%.

For / against, per match

Villarreal CF against its opponents, with Ortiz Arias

0.17
Penalties won
0.00
1.83
Yellows received
3.00
0.08
Reds received
0.33
10.6
Fouls called against
11.4

Tests on the 5 measures

Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)

MeasureDeviationpqVerdict
Points − expected−0.2420.591.00inconclusive
Penalty balance+0.1500.491.00inconclusive
Red-card balance+0.2480.121.00inconclusive
Yellow-card balance+1.1620.050.99inconclusive
Foul balance+0.1120.971.00inconclusive

Appointments

The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected

Observed

11

Expected

12.2

p / q

0.87 / 1.00

inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.

Matches per season

Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)

Matches

The 12 matches

From Villarreal CF's point of view.

Loading 12 matches…

12 matches · data file: /data/paires/ortiz-arias/villarreal.json