El ColegiadoData on refereeing in the Liga

Soto Grado × RCD Mallorca

10 matches of RCD Mallorca refereed by César Soto Grado, from 2019-20 to 2025-26.

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In short

Soto Grado has refereed 10 Liga matches of RCD Mallorca, from 2019-20 to 2025-26: 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats, a 40% win rate. With other referees, over the same seasons, RCD Mallorca wins 28% of its matches.

  • Penalties won per match0.11opponents: 0.11 · with other referees: 0.17
  • Yellow cards received per match1.50opponents: 2.40 · with other referees: 2.64

Verdict: no clear difference once team strength is taken into account.

Once the strength of both teams is taken into account (using bookmakers' odds), the data show no clear difference with this referee.

Win rates do not account for the strength of opponents; the conclusion does.

RCD Mallorca

Soto Grado

RCD Mallorca

no clear differencesmall sample

Record

10matches

4 W3 D3 L

For / against, per match

RCD Mallorca against its opponents, with Soto Grado

0.11
Penalties won
0.11
1.50
Yellows received
2.40
0.00
Reds received
0.10
15.3
Fouls called against
13.4
For experts: statistical tests and method

Comparison with bookmakers' odds, corrected p-values and appointments. Nothing is hidden: the full detail is here.

No clear difference does not mean "no effect": with 10 matches, only a deviation of about ±1.65 points per match could have been detected.

Points − expected points

+2.3pts over 10 matches

15 points obtained for 12.7 expected from the odds, i.e. +0.230 per match.

Points distribution from the odds

If only the odds mattered, over these 10 matches

Points obtained

15

Expected (odds)

12.7

Deviation

+2.3

two-sided p

0.63

Expected 12.7 ± 3.9 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 63%.

Tests on the 5 measures

Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)

MeasureDeviationpqVerdict
Points − expected+0.2300.621.00no clear difference
Penalty balance+0.0221.001.00no clear difference
Red-card balance+0.1050.761.00no clear difference
Yellow-card balance+0.9080.131.00no clear difference
Foul balance−1.8660.290.92no clear difference

Appointments

The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected

Observed

10

Expected

12.0

p / q

0.70 / 1.00

no clear difference Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.

Matches per season

Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)

Matches

The 10 matches

From RCD Mallorca's point of view.

Date
Season2025-26
home Valencia CF
ScoreD1–1
Pen. for–against—
Yellows received–opp.0–2
Reds received–opp.0–0
Date
Season2025-26
home Sevilla FC
ScoreW4–1
Pen. for–against1–0
Yellows received–opp.1–1
Reds received–opp.0–0
Date
Season2024-25
home Deportivo Alavés
ScoreD1–1
Pen. for–against0–0
Yellows received–opp.0–2
Reds received–opp.0–0
Date
Season2024-25
home Real Madrid CF
ScoreD1–1
Pen. for–against0–0
Yellows received–opp.1–0
Reds received–opp.0–1
Date
Season2022-23
away CA Osasuna
ScoreL0–1
Pen. for–against0–0
Yellows received–opp.3–2
Reds received–opp.0–0
Date
Season2021-22
away CA Osasuna
ScoreW2–0
Pen. for–against0–0
Yellows received–opp.2–2
Reds received–opp.0–0
Date
Season2021-22
home Deportivo Alavés
ScoreW2–1
Pen. for–against0–0
Yellows received–opp.2–6
Reds received–opp.0–0
Date
Season2021-22
away Real Betis
ScoreL1–2
Pen. for–against0–1
Yellows received–opp.2–3
Reds received–opp.0–0
Date
Season2019-20
home Levante UD
ScoreW2–0
Pen. for–against0–0
Yellows received–opp.3–1
Reds received–opp.0–0
Date
Season2019-20
away Granada CF
ScoreL0–1
Pen. for–against0–0
Yellows received–opp.1–5
Reds received–opp.0–0
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